Below is research worth reading, the people publishing on it, and straight answers to the objections that come up in every hearing.
Primary sources over commentary. Where an author has a stated affiliation or interest in the AI industry, we say so — it doesn't disqualify the work, it just belongs on the page.
These are unresolved in the literature right now. If you hear a confident answer to any of them, ask what it's based on.
Nothing on this site resolves them. Where we cite a figure that depends on one of these questions, the citation is to whoever made the claim — not to a settled answer.
ON THE FIRST: FEDERAL EMPLOYMENT DATA HAS NOT YET ISOLATED AI-CAUSED UNEMPLOYMENT — REPORTING, AUG 2026 ↗. THE REST ARE OPEN IN THE PAPERS LISTED ABOVE.
Economists and writers publishing on AI, labor, and public finance. They disagree with each other, sharply, which is the point — read across the list rather than down it.
LISTED FOR THE QUALITY OF THEIR PUBLISHED WORK, NOT AS ENDORSEMENTS OF ANY POSITION — INCLUDING OURS. SEVERAL HOLD INDUSTRY AFFILIATIONS; CHECK EACH AUTHOR'S DISCLOSURE.
The objections that come up in every hearing, and what the research says about each.